Asia is home to five of the ten largest carbon-emitting nations (China, India, Indonesia, Japan and South Korea), according to EU data. Many Asian countries have instituted pathways and programmes to reach their net-zero goals by the mid-century, most of which include heavy investments in hydrogen production, infrastructure and fuelling.
The Asia-Pacific region accounts for 20% of active global hydrogen projects. The region is investing more than $350b in new hydrogen capacity and infrastructure over the next several years. At the time of publication, the GEI database was tracking nearly 300 active hydrogen projects in the region. Australia accounts for nearly half of these, followed by China and India. A breakdown of active hydrogen project market share in Asia is shown in Fig.1.
Although Asia-Pacific has announced many new hydrogen projects over the past few years, few have reached FID. More than 90% of the region’s hydrogen projects are in preconstruction phases, such as feasibility studies, pre-FEED and FEED. Nevertheless, the region has allocated a substantial amount of capital to increase hydrogen production and infrastructure and boost its market share in electricity generation, transport, mining and shipping as well as within industrial processing operations.
The island nation intends to become a major green hydrogen/ammonia production hub for Asia-Pacific. The country’s National Hydrogen Strategy, written in 2019, details nearly 60 joint actions that could propel it into becoming a leader in green hydrogen production. These include short-term initiatives such as advancing pilot, trial and demonstration projects; assessing supply chain infrastructure needs; and developing much-needed infrastructure for prospective hydrogen hubs in regions such as Kwinana, Gladstone, Pilbara and Whyalla, among other locations. Australia’s long-term goals (i.e., from 2025) include scaling up operations, production and infrastructure to become a major player in regional and global hydrogen value chains.
20% – Asia-Pacific’s share of active hydrogen projects
However, since the country’s hydrogen strategy was developed several years ago, the government is revising aspects to attract more investment. This announcement came in light of the passage of the US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and other nations around the world offering attractive tax breaks and subsidies to invest in renewables, green hydrogen production capacity and infrastructure. In its annual budget, the Australian government plans to invest A$2b ($1.4b) to scale up the domestic renewable hydrogen industry. These investments will help it reach 1GW of electrolyser capacity by 2030.
Despite stiff competition from other countries trying to attract investment, Australia continues to be the leader in project development within the Asia-Pacific region, accounting for more than $185b in capital investments to 2035. These investments include the following major projects and hubs:
These projects will complement new hydrogen infrastructure under development in the country, including hydrogen fuelling stations, blending with natural gas for electricity generation and for use to decarbonise domestic heavy industrial industries. The country is also studying the use of green methanol as bunker fuel at the Port of Melbourne—Australia’s largest port.
In 2022, China unveiled its hydrogen strategy to 2035. The country’s goals are to increase domestic green hydrogen production to 100,000–200,000t/yr by the end date, place 50,000 hydrogen-fuelled vehicles on the road within that timeframe and significantly build out hydrogen refuelling centres within the country. China is the world's largest hydrogen producer, but most of its production is through coal gasification (i.e., grey hydrogen), which is both energy and emissions intensive. China’s hydrogen production is also not enough to satisfy domestic demand, meaning the nation is set to significantly increase imports through the rest of this decade. China’s hydrogen imports are forecast to reach 13mt/yr in 2030, according to Deloitte.
China has ambitions to increase green hydrogenproduction significantly as the cost of production falls. Industry body the China Hydrogen Alliance forecasts Chinese hydrogenproduction to reach 35mt/yr by 2030 and approximately 60mt/yr by 2050.
To meet these ambitious goals, the nation is significantly increasing capital investments in green hydrogen production projects. The GEI database is tracking more than $150b in capital investments in China, with nearly 30 green hydrogen projects under development. These projects, along with additional natural gas imports, will help China reduce coal-fired power generation, mitigate emissions and increase green ammonia production. They will also be complemented by additional hydrogen infrastructure—such as NOC Sinopec’s west-to-east green hydrogen transmission pipeline from Inner Mongolia to cities in eastern China—and several partnerships to develop hydrogen refuelling stations in major Chinese cities.
The government of India has announced plans to become energy independent by 2047 and achieve net-zero emissions by 2070. To help reach these goals, India has unveiled its National Green Hydrogen Mission. Approved by the country’s cabinet in January 2022, India plans by 2030 to achieve a green hydrogen production capacity of 5mt/yr and have 125GW of renewable energy capacity at a cost of nearly $98b in capital investments.
India’s government has also announced more than $2b in incentives to jumpstart green hydrogenproduction projects. This move is an effort to reduce the cost of green hydrogenproduction in India, which is around INR300–400/kg ($3.66–4.89/kg), and attract additional investments domestically. The country has also extended its transmission fee waiver for renewable energy to green hydrogenplants commissioned before January 2031. This incentive could reduce the cost of interstate transmission charges, reducing green hydrogenproduction costs by INR1–2 ($0.01–0.02) per unit of power transmitted.
Lastly, India’s government is also developing a carbon credit trading scheme. Essentially, India would allow countries to use green hydrogen-linked carbon credits in exchange for investments and purchase deals. This type of credit trade has the potential to boost green hydrogen trade globally.
India holds the third-largest market share in active hydrogen projects in the region, with most of its domestic projects under development via green hydrogen pathways. These facilities will provide zero-carbon hydrogen feedstock for India’s hydrocarbon processing sector and hard-to-abate industries such as steel and cement manufacturing, and they will also enable the country to replace ammonia imports for fertiliser production with domestic, green alternatives by 2035. The country has also planned to increase green ammonia production capacity to nearly 6mt/yr and has identified three ports—Kandla, Paradip and Tuticorin—to serve as hydrogen export hubs.
At the time of this publication, the government of Japan was revising the nation’s hydrogen strategy. The country’s goals are to increase hydrogen supplies by 1mt/yr to 3mt/yr by 2030, 12mt/yr by 2040 and up to 20mt/yr by 2050. To accomplish this, Japan plans nearly $110b of public and private investment to create domestic hydrogen and green ammonia value chains. The additional hydrogen and green ammonia production/imports will enable the country to slash emissions from heavy processing industries and power generation. For example, Jera, Japan’s largest power producer, is studying the use of ammonia as a fuel to co-fire with coal at its power plants; Japanese oil firm Inpex and its project partners started construction in mid-2023 on a new blue hydrogen/ammonia production plant that will be the country’s first integrated blue ammonia value chain; and the country’s steelmaking industry is conducting research on using green hydrogen to power electric furnaces to make high-quality steel.
$350 – Value of Asia-Pacific hydrogen investments
Japan’s Agency for Natural Resources and Energy has announced a two-pronged approach to speeding the development of clean hydrogen/ammonia value chains domestically. The first strategy includes subsidies for clean hydrogen and ammonia producers (i.e., green and blue hydrogen) to help make hydrogen production cost-competitive against coal and LNG. The second prong includes a support scheme to build industrial clusters for the use of clean hydrogen/ammonia.
Many other Asian countries are investing in their domestic hydrogen value chains. These projects include the production of both blue and green hydrogen/ammonia production routes; hydrogen infrastructure buildouts; utilising hydrogen and/or ammonia to decarbonise heavy industry, transportation and shipping; and power generation.
Indonesia has announced plans to become carbon-neutral by 2060. To reach this goal, the country plans to significantly boost the use of renewables in its energy mix, with a goal to have 23% of power generated by renewables by the mid-2020s. The additional solar and wind capacity will provide the country with both renewable power generation capabilities and feedstock for electrolysers to produce green hydrogen. The additional hydrogen and clean ammonia will help Indonesia decarbonise its power sector—several generating firms are now testing co-firing of hydrogen and ammonia in their natural gas and coal-fired power plants—and create a regional ammonia production/export hub. Indonesia’s production of green, blue and grey ammonia will reach nearly 1mt/yr, 2.15mt/yr and 7mt/yr, respectively by 2030, according to fertiliser producer Pupuk. Indonesia is targeting nearly 3.5mt/yr of blue ammonia production by 2040.
Although South Korea’s hydrogen ecosystem is based on grey hydrogen production routes, the government has created a pathway to increase green/blue hydrogen production to help decarbonise the economy. According to South Korea’s Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy, the country has three major growth strategies to build out a domestic clean hydrogen supply chain: “scale-up”, “build-up” and “level-up”. The following is a breakdown of each segment of this programme (known as 3UP) according to South Korea’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI):
Additional low-/zero-carbon hydrogen/ammonia/methanol projects in Asia are listed in Fig.2. These investments will help the region meet net-zero goals and establish a low-carbon economy and hydrogen value chains.
The next four parts of this six-part report will cover hydrogen in the Middle East; Africa; Europe, Russia & the CIS; and the Americas. Click here for the introduction to the report.
Author: Lee Nichols